Supercomputer predicts Champions League winners with surprising favourites despite tough route to final

2 weeks ago 8

THE NEW-LOOK Champions League format volition nutrient a caller victor of the competition, according to a supercomputer.

Earlier contiguous clubs learned their destiny successful the knockout phase of Europe’s premier nine competition.

A first-time victor has been predicted for the Champions League this season[/caption] Champions League Round of 16 fixtures.

Premier League table-toppers and six-time contention winners Liverpool are owed to look disconnected against Paris Saint-Germain successful the last-16.

Elsewhere, Arsenal were drawn against PSV portion Aston Villa instrumentality connected Club Brugge.

There are all-German and all-Spanish derby last-16 clashes with Bayer Leverkusen acceptable to instrumentality connected Bayern Munich and Real Madrid facing Atletico Madrid.

Meanwhile, 2023 finalists Inter Milan volition instrumentality connected Feyenoord with Lille facing Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona up against Benfica.

With truthful galore mouth-watering fixtures to go, it is hard to prime a victor retired of the last 16 clubs.

However, Bettingexpert‘s supercomputer BETSiE has attempted to foretell the victor aft moving a simulation of the tourney 100,000 times.

The algorithm takes into relationship fixtures from past season, pre-season results and existent play advancement and projections for the play ahead.

Starting retired with Liverpool, Arne Slot‘s broadside person been tipped arsenic marginal favourites to advancement implicit PSG with a 53.3 per cent probability to triumph successful the last-16.

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The Reds’ accumulative likelihood past driblet to 40.1 per cent to triumph the quarter-finals and 20 per cent to triumph the semi-finals, earlier being tipped with a 12.8 per cent accidental to triumph a seventh title.

That triumph complaint lone ranks Liverpool arsenic 4th favourites overall.

Serial winners and existent holders Real Madrid are lone ranked THIRD favourites to triumph the full contention astatine 14.4 per cent.

Second spot is Barcelona, who person a favourable imaginable way to the last with a 15.2 per cent accidental to win.

A astonishment first-time triumph has been tipped for Arsenal, with the Gunners fixed a 22.4 per cent likelihood of winning the tourney .

Mikel Arteta‘s broadside person been fixed an 87.3 per cent probability to bushed PSV successful the last-16, earlier 53.3 per cent likelihood to triumph the quarter-finals and 33.1 per cent to triumph the semi-finals.

The nine person reached the last erstwhile before, losing the 2006 last 2-1 to Barcelona, portion the past clip they adjacent made the semi-finals came backmost successful 2009.

VILLA STRUGGLE

Aston Villa, enjoying their archetypal Champions League play since 1983, person been handed conscionable a 2.8 per cent probability to triumph the tournament.

The supercomputer reckons they volition triumph their last-16 necktie against Club Brugge with likelihood of 83.8 per cent.

But the imaginable of past beating 1 of PSG oregon Liverpool is not favoured by the supercomputer, with the probability plummeting to conscionable 24.5 per cent.

Last year’s finalist Dortmund person conscionable a 5.9 per cent accidental of making the last again according to the supercomputer, portion that elusive triumph is fixed conscionable a 1.8 per cent chance.

Six clubs: Benfica (0.9 per cent), Atletico Madrid (0.5 per cent), Lille (0.1 per cent), PSV (0.1 per cent), Feyenoord (0.1 per cent) and Brugge (0.0 per cent) won little than 1 per cent of simulations.